The Lisbon Treaty paves the way for a potential Brexit-block (and a federal EU state)

The Lisbon Treaty will come into full effect on 1st April 2016.  One of the key components of the Lisbon Treaty was the removal of powers from national EU member state governments in about 60 areas of former policy-making and control.

Here is a piece written in 2009 for the BBC News:

” The Lisbon Treaty represents a huge transfer of powers away from EU member states and is bad news for Europe.

In more than 60 areas of policy, countries lose the right to veto legislation they disagree with – on everything from transport to the rights of criminal suspects and aspects of foreign policy.

Britain would lose nearly 30% of its power to block legislation it disagrees with, while Ireland would lose 40%.

It is a myth that the EU Lisbon Treaty will strengthen democracy in Europe.

The President of the German Constitutional Court has said the treaty’s provisions for national parliaments are “ineffective” and “impractical”.

The cross-party House of Commons EU Scrutiny Committee said: “We doubt the significance of the ‘greater opportunities’ for national parliaments to be involved in any meaningful manner in the workings of the EU”.

The treaty is bad enough in itself, but it is the way it is being forced through that really demonstrates why EU institutions should not be given yet more new powers.

Most people now realise that the Lisbon Treaty is a carbon copy of the original Constitutional Treaty that was voted down in both France and the Netherlands in 2005. Open Europe’s side-by-side comparison of the two texts found that 96% of the original reappears in the Lisbon Treaty.

The author of the text himself, Valery Giscard d’Estaing, has confirmed this several times, saying Lisbon “is purely a legal re-writing – incidentally unreadable – of the draft Constitutional Treaty”. And he revealed the reason for this: “Above all, it is to avoid having referendums”.

Indeed, despite several governments initially promising to give their people a say on the treaty, Ireland was the only country to hold a referendum, because it is constitutionally obliged to do so.

There 53% of people said “No”, but they will be forced to vote again. One leading German politician said the No vote was “a real cheek”, while a British Labour MP said the Irish voted No because they had “become extremely arrogant”.

It is not just Irish voters who are concerned about the treaty.

Judges at the German Constitutional Court recently pointed out that the treaty involves a clear extension of the EU’s competences. One judge said: “One has to ask soberly: What competences are left with the Bundestag [German lower house of parliament] in the end?” He also asked “whether it would not be more honest to just proclaim a European federal state”.

The Lisbon Treaty will make it even more difficult to reform the EU in the long run, by ignoring the problems with waste, the lack of transparency and accountability, the outdated policies; and by cementing the status quo. The EU needs urgent reform, not more powers.”

Lorraine Mullally, Director of Open Europe,  UK.

The reason this is relevant is that the Lisbon Treaty effectively paved the way for the EU to declare itself a federal union on or after 1st April 2017 because of the introduction of qualified majority voting.  This means simplistically that if a majority of countries vote for something, it will be passed.

This is something that has escaped most of the current EU member states’ home-based politicians and their people.

The EU wishes to take over all taxation and spending from national governments, as well as military control. It’s not done so yet, but the significant EU organisational panic after the Brexit vote has triggered a renewed push for integration because they see this as solving all the EU’s problems. It doesn’t take take a huge leap of imagination to see how this would pan out for the future of nation states within the EU. In a nutshell, they would cease to exist.

However 1st April also has another significant effect regarding Brexit.  It also significantly reduced / reduces our UK voting rights.  The move to qualified majority voting also means that in theory, EU member states could block Brexit.

” as from March 31st 2017 – a date just nine months away next weekend – Article 50 will be subject to the dreaded Qualified Majority Vote (QMV)…that is to say, we will have to persuade a total of 14 EU Member States to support our decision to leave.”

John Ward, ‘The Slog’ 29th June 2016

This is why Theresa May must trigger Article 50 or preferably repeal the 1972 European Communities Act  on or before 31st March 2017.  If she doesn’t, then we might very well expect a ‘sorry, we can’t leave after all’ to be forthcoming.

At time of writing, 221 days have elapsed since the referendum vote, in which nothing seems to have happened apart from her good-sounding speeches and losing a fairly fundamental court case.

So far, the establishment delays, the window they gave to ‘Remain’ court bases and the parliamentary predicament Theresa May has put us in with those delays look like a coordinated plan to make us deliberately late for this deadline.

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